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Washington: US President Donald Trump is on track to win a slew of battleground states, keeping alive his hopes of again stunning the world by winning a second term in the White House.
Trump is well placed to win Florida, Texas, Ohio, Georgia and North Carolina, killing off Democrats’ hopes of achieving a definitive election-night repudiation of his time in office.
President Donald Trump.Credit:AP
But Democratic nominee Joe Biden retains a plausible path to victory after posting a big early lead in Arizona, and with a majority of votes still to be counted in the “rust belt” states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
In Georgia, significant numbers of early votes remain outstanding in Atlanta and the surrounding suburbs, offering Democrats hope they could narrow the gap there.
Even without all the votes counted, it was clear that pollsters had underestimated Trump’s level of support in several key states – just as they did in 2016.
As of midnight local time in the United States, Trump was ahead by three points in Florida, five points in Texas, eight points in Ohio, 10 points in Georgia and 1.5 points in North Carolina.
Biden is ahead by nine points in Arizona, a traditionally Republican state that has undergone rapid demographic changes in recent years.
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden in Wilmington, Delaware, on Tuesday.Credit:AP
Crucial to Trump’s victory in Florida was his improved performance in the Miami area, which has a big concentration of Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American voters.
Trump’s efforts to paint Democrats as socialists proved effective with these voters, many of whom fled dictatorial left-wing regimes.
Exit polls showed Trump made big gains with Latino voters in several states from his performance in 2016.
Florida elections analyst Matthew Isbell described the Miami results as a “bloodbath” for Democrats.
Biden was on track to win about 54 per cent of the votes in Miami-Dade County, down from 63 per cent for Hillary Clinton in 2016. It is essential for Democrats to run up a big margin in Miami-Dade in order to offset losses in other parts of the state.
As he did four years ago, Trump ran up big margins in the conservative Florida panhandle region.
Despite heightened tensions – national guards have been put on standby in case of violence – election day in America has so far been mostly trouble-free, with minor problems such as polling booth delays and disinformation campaigns quickly dealt with by state authorities.
In an interview on Fox News earlier in the day, Trump declared he had a “solid chance” of winning a second term.
“This reminds me, I hope it reminds me, of four years ago,” he said. “Tremendous changes have taken place over the last week.”
While campaigning in Pennsylvania, Biden said he felt good about the result, but added: “it ain't over till it's over".
More to come
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Understand the election result and its aftermath with expert analysis from US correspondent Matthew Knott. Sign up to The Sydney Morning Herald‘s newsletter here, The Age‘s here, Brisbane Times‘ here and WAtoday‘s here.
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